Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 87040.616374 91836.238867 96628.797923 101774.314940 107138.998280 112563.862032 118460.784188
2025-02-02 80100.294660 87515.541885 95130.647012 103524.991605 112507.958149 121821.891403 132198.249100
2025-02-09 74617.766373 83814.531168 93464.177404 104322.180818 116177.421321 128706.369204 142925.972332
2025-02-16 69751.135025 80213.006959 91391.124406 104187.465800 118394.127689 133645.924797 151220.170824
2025-02-23 66195.314385 77704.441468 90197.198455 104712.650487 121059.874038 138845.846933 159604.306745
2025-03-02 62890.578030 75222.787517 88802.482100 104794.038476 123036.009163 143121.358202 166831.054787
2025-03-09 60757.139096 73908.498579 88577.876718 106060.612290 126231.518049 148675.179056 175433.759609
2025-03-16 57796.287128 71474.449117 86923.642429 105549.994351 127276.445250 151694.989877 181085.360478
2025-03-23 56346.088189 70713.191316 87122.317740 107109.650702 130649.015376 157339.098040 189730.351859
2025-03-30 54680.950103 69605.807863 86835.983018 108030.563542 133222.082824 162025.558203 197256.535339
2025-04-06 52779.203901 68126.424002 86030.906865 108266.148364 134930.481685 165664.789170 203541.169182
2025-04-13 50812.895965 66486.657774 84959.913581 108114.966927 136121.773846 168654.968667 209038.379864
2025-04-20 50009.898834 66267.499316 85611.021522 110064.780885 139876.480552 174752.946858 218330.528870
2025-04-27 49216.892286 66026.340566 86211.734272 111942.109467 143550.118855 180781.828291 227596.851369
2025-05-04 47969.272799 65163.567804 86004.758605 112793.980645 145955.606914 185285.676679 235051.703256
2025-05-11 46317.001656 63727.830371 85032.858072 112651.091066 147104.082051 188248.023596 240639.105800
2025-05-18 45095.388586 62797.636113 84653.324341 113210.602084 149092.427702 192217.562833 247453.553940
2025-05-25 43725.172847 61627.510927 83928.121181 113297.315067 150463.767022 195416.143490 253325.504910
2025-06-01 42999.967691 61270.795067 84214.609962 114646.212758 153404.856731 200549.016831 261595.402492
2025-06-08 41478.823148 59816.522644 83048.620213 114102.433329 153930.481863 202673.785729 266143.508222
2025-06-15 40984.032875 59707.957966 83607.523052 115763.286042 157247.467317 208279.821246 275040.705299
2025-06-22 40228.242664 59222.315487 83653.101222 116743.814887 159689.875372 212797.398882 282601.683508
2025-06-29 39206.705657 58345.066480 83156.664070 116994.634396 161180.087055 216112.881417 288664.577827